For an explanation on the distinction between the “Exponential” and “Linear” rankings given below, please refer to my earlier post “Farm System Primer”. I know it’s tedious, but I had just enough details that I felt needed to review, that I didn’t want to start off each Farm System Breakdown post with 4 paragraphs of jargon. And of course, any questions, feel free to inquire within.
Top 30 Rank (Exponential/Linear): 4/3
Total Rank (Exp/Lin): 5/6
Average of Total Rank (Exp/Lin): 4/3
Average Prospect Grade/Risk (Exp/Lin): 53.2/High / 49.5/High
Total Prospects: 48
Groups of 15 Rankings
| Exponential Rankings | Grouping | Linear Rankings |
| 6 | 1-15 | 3 |
| 16 | 16-30 | 15 |
| 37 | 31-45 | 37 |
| 56 | 46-60 | 56 |
Organization Prospect Rankings
MPTK = “More Players to Know” section of Handbook, DC = Depth Chart of Handbook, 21IFA = IFA signed and drafted in 2021, NL = Not listed in handbook under any sections
| Prosp Rank | Pos | Name | Tm | Grade | Risk | Lin Value | Exp Value |
| 1 | OF | Jo Adell | LaA | 65 | High | 75.0 | 128.0 |
| 2 | OF | Corbin Carroll | Ari | 60 | High | 70.0 | 64.0 |
| 3 | SP | DL Hall | Bal | 60 | High | 70.0 | 64.0 |
| 4 | 1B | Triston Casas | Bos | 60 | High | 70.0 | 64.0 |
| 5 | SP | Triston McKenzie | Cle | 60 | High | 70.0 | 64.0 |
| 6 | 2B | Brendan Rodgers | Col | 55 | Medium | 70.0 | 64.0 |
| 7 | C | Luis Campusano | SD | 60 | High | 70.0 | 64.0 |
| 8 | SP | Simeon Woods-Richardson | Tor | 60 | High | 70.0 | 64.0 |
| 9 | OF | Austin Hendrick | Cin | 60 | Extreme | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 10 | SS | Tyler Freeman | Cle | 55 | High | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 11 | SP | Forrest Whitley | Hou | 60 | Extreme | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 12 | SP | Jackson Kowar | KC | 55 | High | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 13 | SP | Trevor Rogers | Mia | 50 | Medium | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 14 | SP | Adrian Morejon | SD | 55 | High | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 15 | OF | Leody Taveras | Tex | 50 | Medium | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 16 | SP | Alek Manoah | Tor | 55 | High | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 17 | SP | Jackson Rutledge | Was | 55 | High | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 18 | SP | Cade Cavalli | Was | 55 | High | 65.0 | 32.0 |
| 19 | SP | Jared Shuster | Atl | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 20 | SP | Riley Thompson | ChC | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 21 | 1B | Bobby Bradley | Cle | 45 | Medium | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 22 | SP | Jonathan Bowlan | KC | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 23 | SP | Alec Marsh | KC | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 24 | OF | D.J. Peters | LaD | 45 | Medium | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 25 | 1B | Lewin Diaz | Mia | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 26 | SP | Blayne Enlow | Min | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 27 | SP | Luis Medina | NyY | 55 | Extreme | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 28 | SP | Levi Stoudt | Sea | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 29 | 3B | Casey Schmitt | SF | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 30 | SP | Seth Corry | SF | 50 | High | 60.0 | 16.0 |
| 31 | SP | Sam Hentges | Cle | 50 | Very High | 57.5 | 11.3 |
| 32 | SP | Alex Faedo | Det | 50 | Very High | 57.5 | 11.3 |
| 33 | OF | Yohendrick Pinango | ChC | 50 | Extreme | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 34 | SS | Eddy Diaz | Col | 50 | Extreme | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 35 | SP | Jairo Solis | Hou | 50 | Extreme | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 36 | C | MJ Melendez | KC | 45 | High | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 37 | OF | Luke Raley | LaD | 40 | Medium | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 38 | C | Antonio Gomez | NyY | 50 | Extreme | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 39 | SP | Jeff Criswell | Oak | 45 | High | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 40 | SP | Eric Pardinho | Tor | 50 | Extreme | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 41 | SP | Tim Cate | Was | 45 | High | 55.0 | 8.0 |
| 42 | SP | Samuel Valerio | KC | 45 | Extreme | 50.0 | 4.0 |
| 43 | OF | Bubba Thompson | Tex | 40 | High | 50.0 | 4.0 |
| 44 | 2B | Andy Young | Ari | MPTK | MPTK | 45.0 | 2.0 |
| 45 | 3B | Kevin Maitan | LaA | MPTK | MPTK | 45.0 | 2.0 |
| 46 | SP | Mason Englert | Tex | MPTK | MPTK | 45.0 | 2.0 |
| 47 | SP | Cole Ragans | Tex | DC | DC | 40.0 | 1.0 |
| 48 | SS | Jackson Chourio | Mil | 21IFA | 21IFA | 37.5 | 0.7 |
Summary
Moving on with our Farm System Breakdown series, we get to the last team in the #4-#7 tier. This grouping of farms is very tight knit, each separated by the value equivalent to a single 60/High prospect or less. The next farms from here on out will have greater and greater separation. But we’re not here to talk about them! No, we’re here to ogle over the Fajita Eaters.
About 5 posts back I made a comment about every top end farm having an elite tier prospect. This is a true statement for obvious reasons, but I believe I made an error in how narrowly I referred to this tier. Effectively, I limited this tier to prospect with an exponential value of 256 or more, and assumed that all of the top tier teams would have at least one of these. Well, the last few farms have served to prove me wrong, so I will retract that statement for the sole purpose of being able to say confidently that Adell is an elite level prospect. It is a bit odd that Adell is even listed in the BA handbook, as many sources (including the MLB), specifically stated that he is not a prospect. This may have been a result of a decision made by the MLB during the off season, at a time when BA had already committed to some of their editorial decisions. Or, it’s a big middle finger to Big Baseball. Either way, Adell is the difference between this farm being #7 and #4. So, enjoy it while it lasts Ben.
The rest of this farm is no joke though. Six 60/High prospects (+1 55/Medium), give an extremely robust top 10. You then have 10! more prospects in the tier one step down. 14 “guys” and 8 fringy/role players later, and you make it to the end of the farm and the 7 scrubs who belong there. This is actually the smallest farm system in the top 6, and I believe it’s reasonable to say suffers from some recent graduations. That being said, there is p-lenty of ammo left in the chamber, and I’ll refrain from listing off every name, but when you have guys like Corbin Carrol, Austin Hendrick and Tyler Freeman, you really shouldn’t worry about your farm too much.
There are going to be a few graduations this year, but I don’t see this farm system dropping out of the top 6 particularly soon, even with the loss of Adell. I foresee enough gains from the remaining top end options of this farm making up for that (and others’) graduation next season, and perhaps the season after that. Certainly, we should expect the Fajita Eaters to at least maintain a top 6 farm for that length of time, and as their pro team starts to eat into their pick slot gains, a slow inevitable decline of farm quality will be matched by regular season success.
Adell or no Adell, the Fajita Eater’s farm deserves your respect, God damn it! At least until that overdue championship finds it’s way into Fajita Eaters hands.
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