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Farm System Breakdown – #6: Rollin’ Goats

May 2, 2021
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For an explanation on the distinction between the “Exponential” and “Linear” rankings given below, please refer to my earlier post “Farm System Primer”. I know it’s tedious, but I had just enough details that I felt needed to review, that I didn’t want to start off each Farm System Breakdown post with 4 paragraphs of jargon. And of course, any questions, feel free to inquire within.

Top 30 Rank (Exponential/Linear): 6/5
Total Rank (Exp/Lin): 6/4
Average of Total Rank (Exp/Lin): 6/5
Average Prospect Grade/Risk (Exp/Lin): 52.2/High / 47.3/High
Total Prospects: 55

Groups of 15 Rankings

Exponential RankingsGroupingLinear Rankings
41-156
2316-3023
3031-4531
4346-6046

Organization Prospect Rankings

MPTK = “More Players to Know” section of Handbook, DC = Depth Chart of Handbook, 21IFA = IFA signed and drafted in 2021, NL = Not listed in handbook under any sections

Prosp RankPosNameTmGradeRiskLin ValueExp Value
1SSCJ AbramsSD70Very High77.5181.0
2SSMarco LucianoSF70Very High77.5181.0
3OFDylan CarlsonStL60Medium75.0128.0
4OFAlek ThomasAri55High65.032.0
5OFJarren DuranBos55High65.032.0
63BMiguel VargasLaD55High65.032.0
72BJazz ChisholmMia55High65.032.0
8SPEdward CabreraMia55High65.032.0
9SPRyan WeathersSD55High65.032.0
10OFLuis MatosSF60Extreme65.032.0
11CIvan HerreraStL55High65.032.0
12SPKwang-Hyun KimStL45Low65.032.0
13SSLiover PegueroAri55Very High62.522.6
14OFGilberto JimenezBos55Very High62.522.6
15SPMichael BaumannBal50High60.016.0
16SPKohl FranklinChC50High60.016.0
17SPJared KelleyChW55Extreme60.016.0
18SSAaron BrachoCle55Extreme60.016.0
19SPDaniel EspinoCle55Extreme60.016.0
20SPAustin CoxKC50High60.016.0
21RPVictor GonzalezLaD40Low60.016.0
22SPJosh WinderMin50High60.016.0
233BMark VientosNyM50High60.016.0
24SPMiguel YajurePit45Medium60.016.0
25SSAdam HallBal50Very High57.511.3
263BAJ VukovichAri50Extreme55.08.0
27RPGarrett WhitlockBos45High55.08.0
28SSMatthew LugoBos45High55.08.0
29OFMicker AdolfoChW45High55.08.0
30SPAndrew DalquistChW50Extreme55.08.0
31SSAngel MartinezCle50Extreme55.08.0
32SPLenny TorresCle50Extreme55.08.0
33SPShawn DubinHou45High55.08.0
34SSKyren ParisLaA50Extreme55.08.0
35OFJerar EncarnacionMia45High55.08.0
36SPKyle NicolasMia45High55.08.0
37RPDrew RasmussenMil45High55.08.0
38SSJaylen PalmerNyM45High55.08.0
39OFAlexander RamirezLaA45Extreme50.04.0
40OFFreddy ValdezNyM50Extreme55.08.0
41OFBrayan BuelvasOak50Extreme55.08.0
42OFSimon MuzziottiPhi45High55.08.0
43OFCanaan SmithPit45High55.08.0
44SPJose SorianoPit50Extreme55.08.0
45RPDemarcus EvansTex40Medium55.08.0
462BLuisangel AcunaTex50Extreme55.08.0
473BDavis WendzelTex45High55.08.0
48SPRicky VanascoTex50Extreme55.08.0
49OFDavid CalabreseLaA45Extreme50.04.0
50OFSam HaggertySea40High50.04.0
51SPGregory SantosSF40High50.04.0
52OFDesan BrownTor45Extreme50.04.0
53OFDaniel MarteWas45Extreme50.04.0
54RPDavid BednarPitMPTKMPTK45.02.0
55RPNick BurdiPitNLNL0.00.0

Summary

For the next entry in the series we visit the Rollin’ Goats franchise, checking in as the 6th best farm system in the CPL. The gap between #8 and #7 is a pretty big divide, but when comparing the #7 and #6 farms against one another, there just feels like there should be a bigger gap then what the raw numbers suggest.

Technically, this farm actually is lacking in an “Elite” prospect, as both Abrams and Luciano fall into an awkward in-between group that’s just below the elite tier. This might account for why the gap between #6 and #7 wasn’t as dramatic as I expected. Regardless, having two 70 grade talents is plenty impressive for any farm and with Dylan Carlson following immediately after that, there’s no shortage of top tier names to lead off the rankings. After Carlson, you take a step down to the next tier, and you find a very impressive 11 names. I’m not going to list them all, as that seems silly considering the volume, but I will point out that Jazz Chisholm, Ryan Weathers and Kwang-Hyun Kim are just some of the names that fall into this tier. After this, you get a surprisingly short list of “guys”, as there are only 10 prospects in the next tier including Daniel Espino, Austin Cox and Mark Vientos. But, here’s where we get truly crazy, as we have a whopping 24 prospects that qualify for the fringy/role player tier, with only 7 more prospects to fill out the rankings. Of these 7, only two didn’t make their franchises top 30, one of which is the other Burdi, who maintains just as much intrigue as his brother. I will limit myself to 3 names for the sake of brevity from this latter portion of the farm, and say that I find players such as Micker Adolfo, Kyren Paris and Canaan Smith to all be intriguing.

At 55 prospects, this is the longest list we’ve discussed so far, and unfortunately for me, it’s only going to get longer from here. I’m definitely going to need to find a way to communicate the tier breakdowns more efficiently, as there’s just a lot to say when you have so much talent in one place. Ultimately, the Rollin’ Goats have a very impressive farm, and even though some of the top names are set to graduate this season or next, I expect that the overall health of this system shouldn’t suffer too much. I’m not sure what picks the Goats still have for the next 3 drafts, but even if they continue to surpass expectations and find themselves in the thick of the playoffs and thus dilute their draft position, I think this system will still be just fine. And, if they do struggle and find themselves with top 8 picks in the near future, all the more talent to stock up on. Maybe even enough to push for top 4 as some of the elite farms in the CPL start to lose value due to graduations.

Playoff bound in 2021 or not, the future is bright for the Rollin’ Goats franchise.

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