Tom Cat’s 2023 Projections

Season Record Projections

AL East	Team	W	L	T	Win%	xTWin%
1	Fajita Eaters	197	132	23	0.592	0.576
2	Banocolates	190	138	24	0.574	0.561
3	Tom Cats	179	150	23	0.540	0.551
4	GI Zos	75	257	20	0.241	0.248
AL West
1	Your Mom	203	126	23	0.609	0.607
2	Baby Seals	177	151	24	0.536	0.556
3	The Big Units	158	171	23	0.481	0.483
4	BROBs Barnacles	124	204	24	0.386	0.401
NL East
1	Rollin Goats	190	139	23	0.572	0.560
2	Nellys Nellamaniacs	181	147	24	0.548	0.545
3	The Big Hurts	176	152	24	0.534	0.530
4	Ball Busters	152	176	24	0.466	0.498
NL West
1	Danimals	193	136	23	0.580	0.575
2	Pro Bowlers	189	139	24	0.572	0.575
3	Motley Shue	185	143	24	0.561	0.567
4	Kellys Heroes	64	269	19	0.208	0.166

xTWin% is projected wins based off of Roto Standings (essentially assuming a neutral opponent). Deviations from xTWin% can be due to “weak” opponents, but more accurately, it’s a result of when a team has disproportionate categorical advantages despite the strength of the opponent. Like when an overwhelmingly good team faces an average team, who happens to be roughly evenly matched in 8 categories. The overwhelmingly good team may struggle to get as many wins as the strength of their squad would suggest. Hope that helps, if not, yell at Jefferson.

Roto Standings – Hitters

Rank	Team	Hits	Runs	HRs	RBIs	BBs	SBs	Avg	OPS
1	Your Mom	1513	925	281	867	548	152	0.263	0.812
2	Pro Bowlers	1478	844	252	857	639	113	0.273	0.829
3	Fajita Eaters	1453	861	252	818	597	124	0.259	0.799
4	Danimals	1548	849	250	816	541	71	0.274	0.812
5	Banocolates	1503	820	238	813	574	118	0.265	0.793
6	Motley Shue	1474	876	256	831	594	93	0.255	0.777
7	Nellys Nellamaniacs	1465	837	239	784	556	92	0.267	0.802
8	Baby Seals	1429	832	208	745	549	129	0.258	0.769
9	The Big Hurts	1326	803	228	753	564	103	0.257	0.800
10	The Big Units	1354	728	193	713	502	112	0.268	0.781
11	Tom Cats	1354	759	224	759	476	114	0.250	0.753
12	Ball Busters	1345	750	210	746	469	122	0.254	0.763
13	Rollin Goats	1375	746	190	739	528	90	0.265	0.774
14	BROBs Barnacles	1149	634	195	636	461	98	0.252	0.774
15	GI Zos	592	343	99	356	231	58	0.243	0.745
16	Kellys Heroes	267	136	39	150	95	18	0.251	0.734

Rank	Team	Hits	Runs	HRs	RBIs	BBs	SBs	Avg	OPS
1	Your Mom	15	16	16	16	9	16	10	14
2	Pro Bowlers	13	12	14	15	16	10	15	16
3	Fajita Eaters	10	14	13	13	15	14	9	11
4	Danimals	16	13	12	12	8	3	16	15
5	Banocolates	14	9	10	11	13	12	11	10
6	Motley Shue	12	15	15	14	14	6	6	8
7	Nellys Nellamaniacs	11	11	11	10	11	5	13	13
8	Baby Seals	9	10	6	6	10	15	8	5
9	The Big Hurts	4	8	9	8	12	8	7	12
10	The Big Units	6	4	4	4	6	9	14	9
11	Tom Cats	7	7	8	9	5	11	2	3
12	Ball Busters	5	6	7	7	4	13	5	4
13	Rollin Goats	8	5	3	5	7	4	12	6
14	BROBs Barnacles	3	3	5	3	3	7	4	7
15	GI Zos	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	2
16	Kellys Heroes	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	1

Roto Standings – Pitchers

Rank	Team	IP	K	W	QS	SV	HD	ERA	WHIP
1	Rollin Goats	1548	1619	131	93	87	52	3.486	1.132
2	Tom Cats	1450	1485	114	85	93	39	3.580	1.156
3	Your Mom	1405	1590	124	87	79	35	3.509	1.123
4	Banocolates	1312	1419	114	77	46	67	3.550	1.131
5	The Big Hurts	1498	1554	126	81	26	63	3.750	1.221
6	Danimals	1336	1398	112	80	102	60	3.598	1.172
7	Fajita Eaters	1422	1447	118	79	85	31	3.710	1.196
8	Motley Shue	1343	1437	117	81	82	43	3.607	1.177
9	Baby Seals	1351	1432	111	72	77	44	3.901	1.214
10	Nellys Nellamaniacs	1378	1380	113	75	39	80	3.861	1.219
11	Pro Bowlers	1330	1445	108	72	87	34	3.830	1.228
12	The Big Units	1236	1197	92	61	3	87	4.002	1.260
13	Ball Busters	1244	1218	95	70	62	30	3.822	1.241
14	BROBs Barnacles	1038	979	79	55	6	38	4.081	1.302
15	GI Zos	985	832	37	49	8	35	4.246	1.357
16	Kellys Heroes	1023	852	56	50	6	33	4.400	1.369

Rank	Team	IP	K	W	QS	SV	HD	ERA	WHIP
1	Rollin Goats	16	16	16	1	13	11	16	14
2	Tom Cats	14	13	11	3	15	8	13	13
3	Your Mom	12	15	14	2	10	6	15	16
4	Banocolates	6	8	11	8	7	14	14	15
5	The Big Hurts	15	14	15	4	5	13	9	7
6	Danimals	8	7	8	6	16	12	12	12
7	Fajita Eaters	13	12	13	7	12	2	10	10
8	Motley Shue	9	10	12	5	11	9	11	11
9	Baby Seals	10	9	7	11	9	10	5	9
10	Nellys Nellamaniacs	11	6	9	9	6	15	6	8
11	Pro Bowlers	7	11	6	10	14	4	7	6
12	The Big Units	4	4	4	13	1	16	4	4
13	Ball Busters	5	5	5	12	8	1	8	5
14	BROBs Barnacles	3	3	3	14	3	7	3	3
15	GI Zos	1	1	1	16	4	5	2	2
16	Kellys Heroes	2	2	2	15	2	3	1	1

Overall

Rank	Team	Total
1	Your Mom	202
2	Fajita Eaters	178
3	Danimals	176
4	Pro Bowlers	176
5	Banocolates	173
6	Motley Shue	168
7	Nellys Nellamaniacs	155
8	Rollin Goats	153
9	The Big Hurts	150
10	Tom Cats	142
11	Baby Seals	139
12	The Big Units	106
13	Ball Busters	100
14	BROBs Barnacles	74
15	GI Zos	47
16	Kellys Heroes	38

Enjoy.

Tom Cat’s 2023 Projections

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Tom Cat’s 2023 Projections

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